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File photo of runners competing in the Beaver Flat 50 ultramarathon at Saskatchewan Landing (courtesy Cam Barlow)
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What does the forecast look like heading into the fall and winter? 

Environment and Climate Change Canada released its three-month outlook on Aug. 31 for the months of September, October, and November. 

And living up to its reputation, the prairies and Saskatchewan could see a wide variety of weather. 

“I expect the variability will still have lows and highs or ridges and troughs and frontal structures. Going through the prairies, and with the passage of each one of those, we’ll see our weather change. The standard prairie weather probably applies quite well here,” said meteorologist Natalie Hasell. 

According to the forecast, temperatures could be above seasonal for parts of south-central and southeastern Saskatchewan. 

Hasell said that doesn’t come as a surprise considering the number of hot days we had in August. What we don’t know is how the warm weather will come about. 

“Remember, it doesn’t tell us how this is going to work out. Is it one week of very hot temperatures and then normal after that? Is it huge variations,” Hasell said. 

As for precipitation, Hasell said, once again, it could be a mixed bag and it is hard to predict over a long period of time. 

“As per usual, the forecast for precipitation is mostly blank through the prairies, with no particular tendency. A few spots are suggesting below-normal precipitation amounts again for September, October, and November together. But, for the southeastern corner of the province right now, it could go either way,” she said. 

Because the three-month forecast looks at trends over a long period of time, Hasell added that the long-range forecast should not be used for planning as a lot can change over a three-month period. 

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