Saskatchewan residents can expect dry and pleasant weather this week as the province continues to experience above-average fall temperatures. However, while the forecast calls for some minor disturbances, these brief weather events are not expected to bring enough rain to improve soil moisture levels significantly.
The continued lack of rain has raised concerns for farmers and those relying on fall precipitation to prepare the soil before winter’s freeze. As soon as the ground freezes, any moisture will be locked in for the winter, with no evaporation possible. This can set up a good foundation for spring growth, but the less moisture trapped in the soil, the more reliance there will be on spring snowmelt to replenish water supplies in the ground. Fortunately, experts say that next spring’s conditions may not be as dire, but the fall rain deficit remains an issue.
Fall Temperatures Expected to Stay Above Average
With fall in full swing, trees across the province have begun changing colours, creating a scenic display. Looking ahead, the temperature outlook for October indicates a continuation of mild weather in many parts of Saskatchewan.
- Yellow to red areas: These regions are expected to see above-average temperatures for the month.
- Blue areas: Cooler-than-average temperatures are forecasted.
- White areas: These regions will likely experience near-average temperatures.
This temperature outlook is based on comparisons with the 30 October from 1991 to 2020 and reflects the monthly average, meaning that day-to-day temperature fluctuations could still occur. Some days may be warmer or cooler than the overall forecast suggests.
For Central to Southern Saskatchewan there is a high probability of higher than average temperatures through October
As Saskatchewan heads further into fall, the hope for significant rainfall remains, but with dry conditions expected to continue in the near future, it’s important to keep an eye on how this could impact both agriculture and water resources in the months to come.